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Risk to reward calculator

The geometry of a planned trade: how far the target is compared with how far the stop is. A ratio describes the plan - it says nothing about whether price will ever reach the target.

Reward to risk2.00 : 1
Break-even win rate33.33%
Direction impliedlong

What the number means

Divide the distance to your target by the distance to your stop and you get the ratio. 2:1 means the win, when it comes, pays for two losses. The break-even win rate follows directly: at 2:1 you need to win 33.33% of the time to stand still; at 1:2 you need 80%.

The ratio is a property of where you drew three lines, and only that. Moving a target further away improves the ratio of every plan, including terrible ones - it does not make price any more likely to go there. A ratio filters trades; it cannot validate them.

Worked example

Entry at 100, stop at 95, target at 110.

  • Risk: 100 − 95 = 5. Reward: 110 − 100 = 10
  • Ratio: 10 ÷ 5 = 2.00 : 1
  • Break-even win rate: 100 ÷ (1 + 2) = 33.33%

Win a third of the time at this ratio and you are flat before costs. The unit test suite pins these exact figures.

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Risk to reward calculator