Futures · Futures analysis foundations · lesson 8 of 9 · 6 min read · David Alexander
Technical structure on the board
structure on futures
Levels, range and trend on the board's own terms: session-separated statistics, explicit-month truth for levels, back-adjusted series for long-run change, and the settlement print as the day's anchor. The quartermaster's rank is unchanged - structure times entries and places stops inside the routed view - with the futures data laws deciding which chart may answer which question.
Five asset classes, one job description: structure serves the view, between the view's own updates. The futures edition is mostly data law - because on this board, which chart you ask decides whether the answer means anything.
The data law, applied to structure
- Levels belong to explicit months: a price the front month actually traded is memory; the same number on a spliced alias may be a seam - module 2's law, now governing where stops and entries lean.
- Change belongs to adjusted series: trend and indicator arithmetic run on back-adjusted data, per the standing rule - honest about change, silent about levels.
- Sessions separate the statistics: a range, a level's strength, a breakout's meaning - all read within the tide that produced them; the overnight's structure graded by the primary session's crowd, per module 2.
The futures-specific structure
Two anchors the other tracks lacked. The settlement print: yesterday's official mark is the day's reference - gaps measure from it, and the market's own machinery treats it as meaningful, which is the honest reason structure around it reads better than round numbers. And the roll seam: near expiry, apparent structure can be migration - levels 'breaking' as volume hands over are the calendar moving house, and the merged calendar from lesson 7 says when to distrust the chart.
The rank, held
The routed view says which side; the layer's checks say how crowded and how clean; the calendar says when it will be graded; structure places the orders. A fifth asset class, the same hierarchy - and the futures corollary is the sharpest yet: on an instrument that is all machinery, chart patterns fighting the machinery's known dates and flows are not patterns, they are scheduling errors with trendlines.
Check your understanding
Question 1 of 2
Why does structure around the settlement print read better than round numbers?